Current:Home > reviewsThe U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look -MoneyTrend
The U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look
View
Date:2025-04-26 00:06:21
It's Groundhog Day. And once again, the monthly jobs report has confounded forecasters.
U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, according to a report from the Labor Department Friday. That's far more than analysts were expecting.
The job market has held up remarkably well, despite the Federal Reserve's effort to fight inflation with the highest interest rates in more than two decades.
The question is whether the Fed will see a shadow in the stronger-than-expected jobs market and extend our winter of elevated borrowing costs.
Policy makers might worry that such a strong labor market will keep prices higher for longer.
Here are four takeaways from Friday's report.
Demand for workers is still extraordinarily strong
Nearly every industry added jobs last month. Health care added 70,000 jobs. Business services added 74,000. Even construction and manufacturing — two industries that typically feel the drag of higher interest rates — continued to hire in January.
What's more, revised figures show job growth in November and December was stronger than initially reported.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a historically low 3.7%. It's been under 4% for two full years now.
More people are joining the workforce
Helping to balance the strong demand for labor is a growing supply of available workers.
Many people who were sidelined during the pandemic have since joined or re-joined the workforce — thanks in part to the possibility of remote work.
Nearly 23% of employees teleworked or worked from home last month — more than double the rate before the pandemic.
The share of people in their prime working years who are working or looking for work in January rose to 83.3%.
Immigration has also rebounded. The foreign-born workforce grew 4.3% last year, while the native-born workforce was virtually flat.
"Those two forces have significantly lowered the temperature in the labor market," said Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this week. "It's still a good labor market for wages and for finding a job. But it's getting back into balance and that's what we want to see."
But the sizzling job market could delay a cut in interest rates
Powell said this week that he and his colleagues could start cutting interest rates this year if inflation continues to fall.
Powell cautioned, however, that a rate cut at the next Fed meeting in March is unlikely. It's probably even more unlikely after this stronger-than-expected jobs report, which showed average wages in January rising 4.5% from a year ago.
Although rising wages have not been a big driver of inflation, wage gains at that level could make it hard to get inflation all the way down to the Fed's target of 2%.
Before the jobs report, investors had been all but certain the Fed would cut interest rates by May. They're less confident now.
Productivity gains could make rising wages less worrisome
Two other reports from the Labor Department this week show less upward pressure on wages and prices.
One report tracks the labor costs borne by employers last year. It showed a smaller increase in October, November and December than the previous quarter. This "employment cost index" is considered a more reliable guide to labor expenses than the monthly wage data.
A separate report showed that workers' productivity rose by 3.2% in the fourth quarter. Rising productivity helps to offset rising wages, so employers can afford to pay more without raising prices.
"Productivity is the magic wand that keeps wages growing solidly without spiking inflation," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at the payroll processing company ADP.
veryGood! (2977)
Related
- The Best Stocking Stuffers Under $25
- Budget agreement may include IRS cuts that curb plan to crack down on wealthy tax cheats
- A minivan explodes in Kabul, killing at least 3 civilians and wounding 4 others
- A$AP Rocky pleads not guilty to felony charges: What to know about A$AP Relli shooting case
- 'No Good Deed': Who's the killer in the Netflix comedy? And will there be a Season 2?
- Will the Peregrine lunar lander touch down on the moon? Company says it's unlikely
- Upgrade Your 2024 Wellness Routine with Cozy Essentials & Skin-Pampering Must-Haves
- Japan earthquake recovery hampered by weather, aftershocks as number of people listed as missing soars
- Elon Musk's skyrocketing net worth: He's the first person with over $400 billion
- Michael Penix Jr. overcame injury history, but not Michigan's defense, in CFP title game
Ranking
- Why Sean "Diddy" Combs Is Being Given a Laptop in Jail Amid Witness Intimidation Fears
- Who's on the 2024 Baseball Hall of Fame ballot? What to know about election, voting
- Hottest year ever, what can be done? Plenty: more renewables and nuclear, less methane and meat
- Vatican’s doctrine chief is raising eyebrows over his 1998 book that graphically describes orgasms
- John Galliano out at Maison Margiela, capping year of fashion designer musical chairs
- Trump suggests unauthorized migrants will vote. The idea stirs his base, but ignores reality
- Wisconsin lumber company fined nearly $300,000 for dangerous conditions after employee death
- Family of British tourist among 5 killed in 2018 Grand Canyon helicopter crash wins $100M settlement
Recommendation
The city of Chicago is ordered to pay nearly $80M for a police chase that killed a 10
Michigan woman wins $2 million thanks to store clerk who picked out scratch off for her
Will the feds block a grocery megamerger? Kroger and Albertsons will soon find out
'Golden Bachelor' runner-up says what made her 'uncomfortable' during Gerry Turner's wedding
Newly elected West Virginia lawmaker arrested and accused of making terroristic threats
Kevin Durant addresses Draymond Green's reaction to comments about Jusuf Nurkic incident
Biden courts critical Black voters in South Carolina, decrying white supremacy
Russia puts exiled tycoon and opposition leader Khodorkovsky on wanted list for war comments